Barracas Central Res. v Atlético Tucumán Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina

Atlético Tucumán Res.

WDWLL

Barracas Central Res. 36%Draw 24%Atlético Tucumán Res. 40% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.17

53%

Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating

1.85Odds

Value bet: Atlético Tucumán Res. to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Tucumán Res. to win ✗40% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.82

Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Tucumán Res. travel to face Barracas Central Res. on Thursday 15 October in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Barracas Central Res. are 28th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Atlético Tucumán Res. are 22nd (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Barracas Central Res., last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Godoy Cruz Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Atlético Tucumán Res., last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Talleres Córdoba Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlético Tucumán Res., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Barracas Central Res..

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Atlético Tucumán Res. 3–2 Barracas Central Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barracas Central Res. 1.1 xG, Atlético Tucumán Res. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Barracas Central Res. 36%, draw 24%, Atlético Tucumán Res. 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Atlético Tucumán Res. to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barracas Central Res. 1–1 Atlético Tucumán Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barracas Central Res.36%fair 2.79 · @2.40

Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90

Atlético Tucumán Res.40%fair 2.50 · @2.70

2.26Expected goals

1.09Barracas Central Res. xG

1.17Atlético Tucumán Res. xG

53%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Barracas Central Res. 1.1 – 1.2 Atlético Tucumán Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlético Tucumán Res. to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.85
Draw no bet	Atlético Tucumán Res. (draw no bet)	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Barracas Central Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Atlético Tucumán Res. to score first ✓	46%	2.15	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlético Tucumán Res. / FT Atlético Tucumán Res. ✗	21%	4.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.82	–

Recent results

Barracas Central Res. – last 6

DDLWLL

8 Oct	@ Godoy Cruz Res.	0–0	D
1 Oct	vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0–0	D
24 Sep	@ Deportivo Riestra Res.	0–3	L
17 Sep	vs Instituto Res.	3–1	W
9 Sep	@ Talleres Córdoba Res.	1–2	L
3 Sep	vs Banfield Res.	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Atlético Tucumán Res. – last 6

WDWLLW

8 Oct	vs Talleres Córdoba Res.	2–0	W
29 Sep	@ Banfield Res.	1–1	D
22 Sep	@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.	1–0	W
16 Sep	vs Rosario Central Res.	0–1	L
10 Sep	@ Tigre Res.	0–2	L
2 Sep	vs San Lorenzo Res.	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026

Atlético Tucumán Res. v Barracas Central Res.

3–2

Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8

More Reserve League predictions

League hub

Gimnasia Mendoza 20

Godoy Cruz Res.0 145%2.00X24%2.90231%3.40 1.3–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@1.85 ✗

San Lorenzo Res.1

Sarmiento Res.1 157%1.75X25%3.00218%4.40 1.5–0.7xG 1San Lorenzo Res. to win 57%@1.75 ✗

Vélez Sársfield Res.4

Racing Club Res.0 165%1.53X24%3.60211%5.00 1.9–0.7xG 1Vélez Sársfield Res. to win 65%@1.53 ✓

Talleres Córdoba Res.3

Unión Santa Fe Res.0 135%2.40X25%2.75240%2.88 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✗

Boca Juniors Res.1

Ferro 20 169%1.22X16%5.50216%9.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Boca Juniors Res. to win 69%@1.22 ✓

Central Córdoba SdE Res.1

Belgrano Córdoba Res.2 117%3.30X23%3.10260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Belgrano Córdoba Res. or draw 83%@1.29 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

On our numbers Barracas Central Res. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Tucumán Res. 40%.

How many goals will there be in Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Our predicted score is Barracas Central Res. 1–1 Atlético Tucumán Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Barracas Central Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.