Boca Juniors Res. v Ferro 2 Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors Res. to win ✓69% · @1.22

Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Boca Juniors Res. v Ferro 2 in the Reserve League. In the table, Boca Juniors Res. are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 16 matches; Ferro 2 are 36th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Boca Juniors Res., last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colón Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ferro 2, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Boca Juniors Res., collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Ferro 2.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Ferro 2 0–0 Boca Juniors Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors Res. 1.9 xG, Ferro 2 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors Res. 69%, draw 16%, Ferro 2 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors Res. to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 Ferro 2. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boca Juniors Res.69%fair 1.46 · @1.22

Draw16%fair 6.39 · @5.50

Ferro 216%fair 6.32 · @9.50

2.64Expected goals

1.92Boca Juniors Res. xG

0.72Ferro 2 xG

43%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–013%

1–110%

2–19%

3–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.9 – 0.7 Ferro 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Boca Juniors Res. to win ✓	69%	1.46	1.22
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	84%	1.19	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	–
Draw no bet	Boca Juniors Res. (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Boca Juniors Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Boca Juniors Res. to score first ✓	68%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Boca Juniors Res. ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Boca Juniors Res. / FT Boca Juniors Res. ✗	42%	2.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	8%	11.85	–

Boca Juniors Res. – last 6

WLDDWW

8 Oct	vs Colón Res.	1–0	W
1 Oct	@ Independiente Res.	1–2	L
25 Sep	@ River Plate Res.	2–2	D
17 Sep	vs Atl. Rafaela 2	0–0	D
9 Sep	@ Platense Res.	2–0	W
3 Sep	vs Quilmes 2	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Ferro 2 – last 6

DLLDLL

7 Oct	vs Independiente Res.	0–0	D
29 Sep	@ Atl. Rafaela 2	2–3	L
22 Sep	@ Vélez Sársfield Res.	0–4	L
16 Sep	vs Platense Res.	1–1	D
8 Sep	@ Quilmes 2	1–2	L
2 Sep	vs Estudiantes La Plata Res	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8

Team

Pts

+29

+24

+19

+13

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Quilmes 2

Defensa y Justicia Res.

+14

Atlético Tucumán Res.

-2

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Argentinos Juniors Res.

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

-2

Talleres Córdoba Res.

Huracán Res.

Rosario Central Res.

Platense Res.

-3

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Independiente Riva. Res.

Instituto Res.

-1

San Lorenzo Res.

-2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

-3

Banfield Res.

-4

Ferro 2

-3

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

-12

Colón Res.

-8

Aldosivi Res.

-11

Barracas Central Res.

-13

-10

-10

-10

-15

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

-23

San Martín San Juan Res.

-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2?

Our pick is Boca Juniors Res. to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2?

On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ferro 2 16%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 Ferro 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2?

Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2 (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Boca Juniors Res. v Ferro 2: numbers & prediction

Boca Juniors Res.

Ferro 2

Boca Juniors Res. to win

Picks by market

Boca Juniors Res. vs Ferro 2: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Boca Juniors Res. – last 6

Ferro 2 – last 6

Head to head

Reserve League table

More Reserve League predictions

Frequently asked questions