Double chanceSan Lorenzo Res. or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Reserve League brings San Lorenzo Res. against Sarmiento Res.. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, San Lorenzo Res. are 17th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento Res. are 15th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Lorenzo Res., last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Argentinos Juniors Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sarmiento Res., last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vélez Sársfield Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Sarmiento Res. 1–2 San Lorenzo Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo Res. 1.5 xG, Sarmiento Res. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo Res. 57%, draw 25%, Sarmiento Res. 18%.
Lower-risk option: San Lorenzo Res. or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Lorenzo Res. to win (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo Res.57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.00
Sarmiento Res.18%fair 5.44 · @4.40
2.18Expected goals
1.48San Lorenzo Res. xG
0.70Sarmiento Res. xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo Res. 1.5 – 0.7 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is San Lorenzo Res. to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo Res. have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarmiento Res. 18%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
