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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Podhale Nowy Targ v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland · Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Podhale Nowy Targ

WDLLW
3–1
FT

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

DDDWW
Podhale Nowy Targ 21%Draw 51%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 28% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.30
79%
Betarazi pick

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.30
Double chancePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki travel to face Podhale Nowy Targ on Tuesday 1 September in the Cup, with Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Olimpia Grudziądz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nieciecza, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Podhale Nowy Targ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 1.1 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 21%, draw 51%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Podhale Nowy Targ21%fair 4.85 · @2.88
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki28%fair 3.56 · @2.15
2.45Expected goals
1.15Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.30Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.1 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗51%1.953.30 ▲
Double chancePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.62
Draw no betPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapPodhale Nowy Targ +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.17
First team to scorePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13%7.75–

Recent results

Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6

WDLLWD
29 Aug@ Olimpia Grudziądz3–1W
22 Augvs Resovia Rzeszów1–1D
14 Aug@ Górnik Łęczna2–5L
8 Augvs Hutnik Kraków2–5L
5 Augvs Chojniczanka Chojnice2–0W
1 Aug@ Sokół Kleczew0–0D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

DDDWWW
28 Augvs Nieciecza2–2D
22 Aug@ Polonia Bytom2–2D
14 Augvs Stal Rzeszów1–1D
8 Aug@ Miedz Legnica1–0W
2 Augvs Puszcza Niepołomice1–0W
25 Jul@ Lechia Gdansk3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Korona Kielce II0 Radomiak Radom1 18%10.00X19%5.75273%1.22 1.0–2.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Chemik Bydgoszcz0 Piast Gliwice3 111%13.00X18%6.50271%1.14 1.0–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✓
FT Kluczevia Stargard2 Pogoń Siedlce2 AET 2–3 124%3.70X20%3.50256%1.80 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg3 Zaglebie Lubin2 19%7.50X18%6.50273%1.22 0.8–2.4xG 2Zaglebie Lubin to win 73%@1.22 ✗
FT Kluczbork1 Lechia Gdansk2 118%4.00X20%3.75263%1.67 0.9–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Polonia Środa3 Sandecja Nowy Sącz2 120%3.00X50%3.50230%2.00 1.4–1.6xG X2Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw 80%@1.30 ✗
FT Stal Rzeszów3 Podbeskidzie0 143%2.50X21%3.40236%2.40 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Wigry Suwałki1 Nieciecza5 113%4.20X25%3.75263%1.65 0.9–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 28%.

How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.