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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Siarka Tarnobrzeg v Zaglebie Lubin: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland · Stadion Miejski
3–2
FT
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 9%Draw 18%Zaglebie Lubin 73% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.45
73%
Betarazi pick

Zaglebie Lubin to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultZaglebie Lubin to win ✗73% · @1.22
Double chanceZaglebie Lubin or draw ✗91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 1 September the Cup brings Siarka Tarnobrzeg against Zaglebie Lubin at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Siarka Tarnobrzeg, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wisłoka Dębica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pogon Szczecin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Zaglebie Lubin, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0.8 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 2.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Siarka Tarnobrzeg 9%, draw 18%, Zaglebie Lubin 73%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zaglebie Lubin to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Siarka Tarnobrzeg9%fair 11.47 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @6.50
Zaglebie Lubin73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
3.22Expected goals
0.78Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
2.45Zaglebie Lubin xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–38%

From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0.8 – 2.4 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaglebie Lubin to win ✗73%1.371.22
Double chanceZaglebie Lubin or draw ✗91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Draw no betZaglebie Lubin (draw no bet) ✗89%1.12–
Asian handicapZaglebie Lubin -1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.691.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
First team to scoreZaglebie Lubin to score first ✗73%1.37–
Half-time resultZaglebie Lubin ahead at half-time ✗54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Lubin / FT Zaglebie Lubin ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6

WLLWLD
29 Augvs Wisłoka Dębica1–0W
23 Aug@ Sokół Kolb.0–2L
19 Augvs Jarosław1–3L
15 Aug@ Busko-Zdroj4–1W
8 Augvs Czarni Połaniec0–1L
2 Aug@ Hetman Zamosc1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

DDWLWW
29 Augvs Pogon Szczecin0–0D
23 Aug@ Radomiak Radom0–0D
15 Augvs Slask Wroclaw2–1W
2 Aug@ Legia Warszawa1–3L
27 Julvs Piast Gliwice2–0W
18 Julvs Chrobry Głogów3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Zaglebie Lubin.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our pick is Zaglebie Lubin to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zaglebie Lubin 73%.

How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.