Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.50
Double chanceSandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.23
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sandecja Nowy Sącz travel to face Polonia Środa on Tuesday 1 September in the Cup – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Gedania Gdansk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Resovia Rzeszów, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 1.4 xG, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 20%, draw 50%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 30%.
Lower-risk option: Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (80%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Środa20%fair 5.00 · @3.00
Draw50%fair 2.00 · @3.50
Sandecja Nowy Sącz30%fair 3.33 · @2.00
2.97Expected goals
1.37Polonia Środa xG
1.60Sandecja Nowy Sącz xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 1.4 – 1.6 Sandecja Nowy Sącz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
50%
2.00
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Sandecja Nowy Sącz (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Środa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Sandecja Nowy Sącz to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sandecja Nowy Sącz / FT Sandecja Nowy Sącz✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
16.23
–
Recent results
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWWWWW
28 Aug
vs Gedania Gdansk
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Lipno Stęszew
3–2
W
19 Aug
vs Stargard Szczeciński
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
4–1
W
7 Aug
vs Victoria Września
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sandecja Nowy Sącz – last 6
WDWLWW
28 Aug
@ Resovia Rzeszów
3–0
W
21 Aug
vs Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Avia Świdnik
0–3
L
5 Aug
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 30%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.