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Polonia Środa v Sandecja Nowy Sącz: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland
Polonia Środa 20%Draw 50%Sandecja Nowy Sącz 30% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.60
80%
Betarazi pick

Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.50
Double chanceSandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.23

Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sandecja Nowy Sącz travel to face Polonia Środa on Tuesday 1 September in the Cup – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Gedania Gdansk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Resovia Rzeszów, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 1.4 xG, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 20%, draw 50%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (80%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polonia Środa20%fair 5.00 · @3.00
Draw50%fair 2.00 · @3.50
Sandecja Nowy Sącz30%fair 3.33 · @2.00
2.97Expected goals
1.37Polonia Środa xG
1.60Sandecja Nowy Sącz xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Polonia Środa 1.4 – 1.6 Sandecja Nowy Sącz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗50%2.003.50 ▲
Double chanceSandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✗80%1.251.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betSandecja Nowy Sącz (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapPolonia Środa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
First team to scoreSandecja Nowy Sącz to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sandecja Nowy Sącz / FT Sandecja Nowy Sącz ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%16.23–

Recent results

Polonia Środa – last 6

WWWWWW
28 Augvs Gedania Gdansk4–3W
22 Aug@ Lipno Stęszew3–2W
19 Augvs Stargard Szczeciński4–1W
14 Aug@ Chemik Bydgoszcz4–1W
7 Augvs Victoria Września1–0W
1 Aug@ Bałtyk Koszalin3–0W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sandecja Nowy Sącz – last 6

WDWLWW
28 Aug@ Resovia Rzeszów3–0W
21 Augvs Górnik Łęczna1–1D
15 Aug@ Świt Skolwin1–0W
9 Aug@ Avia Świdnik0–3L
5 Augvs Rekord Bielsko-Biała3–0W
2 Augvs Chojniczanka Chojnice3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz.

Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 30%.

How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.