Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Laredo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLaredo to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceLaredo or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Laredo vs Escobedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Laredo v Escobedo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Laredo are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 10 matches; Escobedo are 15th (lower half) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Laredo, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético Albericia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Escobedo, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bezana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Escobedo 0–0 Laredo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Laredo 1 win, Escobedo 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Laredo 1.7 xG, Escobedo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Laredo 60%, draw 25%, Escobedo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Laredo or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Laredo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Laredo or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laredo 1–0 Escobedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Laredo60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Escobedo15%fair 6.53 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.73Laredo xG
0.77Escobedo xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Laredo 1.7 – 0.8 Escobedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Laredo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Laredo vs Escobedo?
On our numbers Laredo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Escobedo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Laredo vs Escobedo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laredo vs Escobedo?
Our predicted score is Laredo 1–0 Escobedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Laredo vs Escobedo?
Laredo vs Escobedo (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
