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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Selaya v Atlético Albericia: numbers & prediction

Selaya

LDWLL
1–0
FT
Selaya 31%Draw 23%Atlético Albericia 47% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.15
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Albericia to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12

Selaya vs Atlético Albericia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:15 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Selaya v Atlético Albericia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Selaya are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Atlético Albericia are 11th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Selaya, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tropezón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atlético Albericia, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Laredo, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atlético Albericia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Selaya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Selaya 0.8 xG, Atlético Albericia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Selaya 31%, draw 23%, Atlético Albericia 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Selaya 1–1 Atlético Albericia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Selaya31%fair 3.27 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Atlético Albericia47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
2.00Expected goals
0.85Selaya xG
1.15Atlético Albericia xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Selaya 0.8 – 1.2 Atlético Albericia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Albericia to win ✗47%2.152.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.80
Draw no betAtlético Albericia (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapSelaya +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreAtlético Albericia to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Albericia / FT Atlético Albericia ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.12–

Recent results

Selaya – last 6

LDWLLW
12 Sep@ Tropezón0–3L
6 Sepvs Castro0–0D
3 Aprvs Noja3–0W
29 Mar@ Castro1–3L
22 Marvs Cayón0–2L
8 Marvs Escobedo2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atlético Albericia – last 6

LLWWWW
12 Sepvs Laredo0–2L
5 Sep@ Bezana1–2L
29 Mar@ Torina2–0W
1 Mar@ Noja5–2W
18 Febvs Colindres1–0W
15 Feb@ Castro2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Selaya and Atlético Albericia.

Selaya vs Atlético Albericia head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón10820+1626
2Cayón10721+1023
3Revilla10631+1121
4Bezana10631+921
5Vimenor10622+920
6Sámano10541+1419
7Laredo10613+1119
8Torina10370+716
9Atlético Mineros10415-613
10Solares10235-69
11Atlético Albericia10154-48
12Castro10226-68
13Guarnizo10226-88
14Barquereño10226-118
15Escobedo10145-97
16Selaya10217-127
17Velarde10136-126
18Naval Reinosa10136-136

More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Selaya vs Atlético Albericia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Selaya vs Atlético Albericia?

On our numbers Selaya have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Albericia 47%.

How many goals will there be in Selaya vs Atlético Albericia?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Selaya vs Atlético Albericia?

Our predicted score is Selaya 1–1 Atlético Albericia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Selaya vs Atlético Albericia?

Selaya vs Atlético Albericia (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.