Las Rozas 63%Draw 24%SS Reyes II 12%Expected goals 2.23 – 0.96
63%
Betarazi pick
Las Rozas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLas Rozas to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceLas Rozas or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 brings Las Rozas against SS Reyes II. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Las Rozas are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; SS Reyes II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Las Rozas, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over RC Alcobendas, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
SS Reyes II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Real Aranjuez, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Las Rozas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for SS Reyes II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Rozas 2.2 xG, SS Reyes II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Rozas 63%, draw 24%, SS Reyes II 12%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Las Rozas to win (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Rozas 2–0 SS Reyes II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Rozas63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
SS Reyes II12%fair 8.27 · @4.60
3.19Expected goals
2.23Las Rozas xG
0.96SS Reyes II xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Las Rozas 2.2 – 1.0 SS Reyes II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Rozas to win✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Las Rozas or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Las Rozas (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Las Rozas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Las Rozas to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Las Rozas ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Rozas / FT Las Rozas✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Las Rozas – last 6
WLDWWL
7 Oct
vs RC Alcobendas
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Trival Valderas
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Galapagar
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Leganés II
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Cala Pozuelo
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SS Reyes II – last 6
LLLWLW
4 Oct
vs Real Aranjuez
3–5
L
27 Sep
@ Pozuelo Alarcón
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Parla Escuela
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Villanueva Pardillo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Unión Adarve
0–2
L
10 May
@ Villaverde-Boetticher
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Rozas and SS Reyes II.
What is the prediction for Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Our pick is Las Rozas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
On our numbers Las Rozas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SS Reyes II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Our predicted score is Las Rozas 2–0 SS Reyes II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
