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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rayo Vallecano II v Trival Valderas: numbers & prediction

Rayo Vallecano II 26%Draw 23%Trival Valderas 51% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.85
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrival Valderas to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trival Valderas travel to face Rayo Vallecano II on Sunday 11 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano II are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Trival Valderas are 8th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Rayo Vallecano II, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to RC Alcobendas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Trival Valderas, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Las Rozas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Trival Valderas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rayo Vallecano II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano II 1.2 xG, Trival Valderas 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano II 26%, draw 23%, Trival Valderas 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano II 1–1 Trival Valderas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rayo Vallecano II26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Trival Valderas51%fair 1.94 · @2.00
3.10Expected goals
1.25Rayo Vallecano II xG
1.85Trival Valderas xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
2–26%

From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano II 1.2 – 1.9 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrival Valderas to win ✗51%1.942.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.62
Draw no betTrival Valderas (draw no bet) ✗67%1.50–
Asian handicapRayo Vallecano II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreTrival Valderas to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultTrival Valderas ahead at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trival Valderas / FT Trival Valderas ✗32%3.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Rayo Vallecano II – last 6

LLLLDL
4 Oct@ RC Alcobendas2–4L
27 Sepvs Galapagar1–2L
19 Sep@ Leganés II1–4L
13 Sepvs Cala Pozuelo2–3L
6 Sep@ Móstoles0–0D
3 May@ Rayo Majadahonda0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Trival Valderas – last 6

WWDDWL
4 Octvs Las Rozas2–1W
26 Sep@ Real Aranjuez2–1W
20 Sepvs Pozuelo Alarcón1–1D
13 Sep@ Parla Escuela0–0D
6 Sepvs Villanueva Pardillo3–1W
20 Jun@ La Nucía0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano II and Trival Valderas.

Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

On our numbers Rayo Vallecano II have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trival Valderas 51%.

How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano II 1–1 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.