Value bet: Algar to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBalsicas Atlético to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Algar vs Balsicas Atlético: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Tercera División RFEF Group 13 brings Algar against Balsicas Atlético. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Algar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Balsicas Atlético are 9th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Algar, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Santomera, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Balsicas Atlético, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Los Garres, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algar 0.9 xG, Balsicas Atlético 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algar 31%, draw 23%, Balsicas Atlético 45%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Algar to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algar 0–1 Balsicas Atlético. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algar31%fair 3.20 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Balsicas Atlético45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
2.17Expected goals
0.95Algar xG
1.22Balsicas Atlético xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Algar 0.9 – 1.2 Balsicas Atlético expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Balsicas Atlético to win✓
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Balsicas Atlético (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Algar +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Balsicas Atlético to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Balsicas Atlético / FT Balsicas Atlético✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Recent results
Algar – last 3
LLL
20 Sep
@ Santomera
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Bullas Deportivo
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Atlético Pulpileño
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Balsicas Atlético – last 6
LLLLDL
20 Sep
vs Los Garres
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ UCAM Murcia II
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs SFC Minerva
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Atlético Pulpileño
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Mazarrón FC
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ El Palmar
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algar and Balsicas Atlético.
What is the prediction for Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
On our numbers Algar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Balsicas Atlético 45%.
How many goals will there be in Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
Our predicted score is Algar 0–1 Balsicas Atlético, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
Algar vs Balsicas Atlético (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
