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Unión Molinense v Mazarrón FC: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Unión Molinense 41%Draw 24%Mazarrón FC 35% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.52
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnión Molinense to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Unión Molinense v Mazarrón FC in the Tercera División RFEF Group 13. In the table, Unión Molinense are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Mazarrón FC are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

Unión Molinense, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olímpico Totana, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Mazarrón FC, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santa Cruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Mazarrón FC 1–0 Unión Molinense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Unión Molinense 1.7 xG, Mazarrón FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Unión Molinense 41%, draw 24%, Mazarrón FC 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unión Molinense 1–1 Mazarrón FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Unión Molinense41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Mazarrón FC35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
3.17Expected goals
1.65Unión Molinense xG
1.52Mazarrón FC xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Unión Molinense 1.7 – 1.5 Mazarrón FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnión Molinense to win ✓41%2.462.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.85
Draw no betUnión Molinense (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapMazarrón FC +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreUnión Molinense to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Unión Molinense / FT Unión Molinense ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Unión Molinense – last 6

LDWLDL
20 Sep@ Olímpico Totana0–1L
13 Sepvs San Javier2–2D
6 Sep@ Cartagena LU II4–2W
24 Mayvs Olímpico Totana0–2L
17 May@ Olímpico Totana0–0D
26 Apr@ SFC Minerva0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mazarrón FC – last 6

DLLLDW
20 Sepvs Santa Cruz2–2D
12 Sep@ Bala Azul0–1L
6 Sepvs El Palmar1–2L
24 May@ Real Murcia II0–2L
5 Apr@ Balsicas Atlético0–0D
29 Marvs Unión Molinense1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Mazarrón FC v Unión Molinense1–0
Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 13 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Santomera9810+1525
2Santa Cruz9531+618
3Águilas II9450+817
4San Javier9441+216
5UCAM Murcia II9432+815
6Unión Molinense9432+515
7Los Garres9423+314
8Bala Azul9342+213
9Balsicas Atlético9414-313
10Alcantarilla9333+312
11Olímpico Totana9324-111
12Atlético Pulpileño9324-111
13Cotillas CD9315-310
14Cartagena LU II9234-39
15SFC Minerva9225-78
16Algar9207-176
17Bullas Deportivo9126-115
18Mazarrón FC9117-64

More Tercera División RFEF Group 13 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC?

On our numbers Unión Molinense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mazarrón FC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC?

Our predicted score is Unión Molinense 1–1 Mazarrón FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC?

Unión Molinense vs Mazarrón FC (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.