Berceo welcome Alfaro for a Tercera División RFEF Group 16 fixture on Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Berceo are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Alfaro are 3rd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Berceo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Calasancio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alfaro, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comillas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alfaro, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Berceo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Berceo 1.2 xG, Alfaro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Berceo 32%, draw 23%, Alfaro 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berceo 1–1 Alfaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Berceo32%fair 3.17 · @3.12
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Alfaro46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.77Expected goals
1.23Berceo xG
1.55Alfaro xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Berceo 1.2 – 1.5 Alfaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alfaro to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.68
Draw no bet
Alfaro (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Berceo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Alfaro to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alfaro / FT Alfaro✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Berceo – last 6
WLLWWW
31 Oct
@ Calasancio
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Agoncillo
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Oyonesa
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs La Calzada
5–1
W
4 Oct
@ Pradejón
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs San Marcial
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alfaro – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Nov
vs Comillas
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Varea
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Vianés
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Casalarreina
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Calahorra
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Anguiano
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berceo and Alfaro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Berceo vs Alfaro?
On our numbers Berceo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alfaro 46%.
How many goals will there be in Berceo vs Alfaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berceo vs Alfaro?
Our predicted score is Berceo 1–1 Alfaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Berceo vs Alfaro?
Berceo vs Alfaro (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
