Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Anguiano to win @ 2.93 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVarea to win ✓39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Varea vs Anguiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varea welcome Anguiano for a Tercera División RFEF Group 16 fixture on Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Varea are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 10 matches; Anguiano are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Varea, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Haro Deportivo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Anguiano, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vianés, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Anguiano, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Varea.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Varea 0–0 Anguiano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varea 1.1 xG, Anguiano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varea 39%, draw 23%, Anguiano 38%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Anguiano to win @2.93 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varea 1–1 Anguiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varea39%fair 2.57 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.02
Anguiano38%fair 2.64 · @2.93
2.23Expected goals
1.12Varea xG
1.10Anguiano xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Varea 1.1 – 1.1 Anguiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Varea vs Anguiano?
On our numbers Varea have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anguiano 38%.
How many goals will there be in Varea vs Anguiano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varea vs Anguiano?
Our predicted score is Varea 1–1 Anguiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Varea vs Anguiano?
Varea vs Anguiano (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
