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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toledo v La Solana: numbers & prediction

Toledo

LDWLD
4–0
FT
Toledo 72%Draw 19%La Solana 10% Expected goals 2.38 – 0.79
72%
Betarazi pick

Toledo to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultToledo to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Toledo vs La Solana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Toledo v La Solana in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18. In the table, Toledo are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; La Solana are 14th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Toledo, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Noblejas, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

La Solana, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over San Clemente, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toledo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for La Solana.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended La Solana 0–0 Toledo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toledo 2.4 xG, La Solana 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toledo 72%, draw 19%, La Solana 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toledo to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toledo 2–0 La Solana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toledo72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.40
La Solana10%fair 10.41 · @10.00
3.17Expected goals
2.38Toledo xG
0.79La Solana xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Toledo 2.4 – 0.8 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToledo to win ✓72%1.391.30
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.15 ▲
Draw no betToledo (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapToledo -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreToledo to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultToledo ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toledo / FT Toledo ✓49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Toledo – last 6

LDWLDW
19 Sep@ Noblejas1–2L
12 Sepvs Villarrubia1–1D
6 Sep@ Quintanar del Rey4–2W
24 Mayvs Albacete II0–1L
17 May@ Albacete II0–0D
26 Apr@ San Clemente4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

La Solana – last 6

WLLLLL
19 Sepvs San Clemente4–0W
13 Sep@ Almansa0–3L
5 Sepvs Manchego0–1L
2 Aprvs Villarrobledo1–2L
29 Mar@ Albacete II0–4L
22 Mar@ Sonseca2–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026La Solana v Toledo0–0
Toledo vs La Solana head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toledo vs La Solana?

Our pick is Toledo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Toledo vs La Solana?

On our numbers Toledo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and La Solana 10%.

How many goals will there be in Toledo vs La Solana?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toledo vs La Solana?

Our predicted score is Toledo 2–0 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toledo vs La Solana?

Toledo vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.