Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Torrijos against Quintanar del Rey. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Torrijos are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Quintanar del Rey are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Torrijos, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Socuéllamos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Quintanar del Rey, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Illescas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torrijos, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Quintanar del Rey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torrijos 1.4 xG, Quintanar del Rey 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torrijos 41%, draw 25%, Quintanar del Rey 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torrijos 1–1 Quintanar del Rey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torrijos41%fair 2.46 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Quintanar del Rey34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.40Torrijos xG
1.27Quintanar del Rey xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Torrijos 1.4 – 1.3 Quintanar del Rey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torrijos to win✓
41%
2.46
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Torrijos (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Quintanar del Rey +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Torrijos to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torrijos / FT Torrijos✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Torrijos – last 3
DWW
20 Sep
@ Socuéllamos
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Tarancón
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Guadalajara II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Quintanar del Rey – last 6
DDLWDW
20 Sep
vs Illescas
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Villarrobledo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Toledo
2–4
L
3 May
@ Elche II
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Intercity
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torrijos and Quintanar del Rey.
What is the prediction for Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
On our numbers Torrijos have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quintanar del Rey 34%.
How many goals will there be in Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Our predicted score is Torrijos 1–1 Quintanar del Rey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
