Illescas vs Almansa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almansa travel to face Illescas on Sunday 8 November in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Illescas are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Almansa are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Illescas, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Manchego, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Almansa, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villarrobledo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Illescas 1.8 xG, Almansa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Illescas 61%, draw 22%, Almansa 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Illescas 2–0 Almansa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Illescas61%fair 1.63 · @1.61
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.46
Almansa17%fair 5.96 · @4.70
2.62Expected goals
1.80Illescas xG
0.81Almansa xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.8 – 0.8 Almansa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Illescas to win✓
61%
1.63
1.61
Double chance
Illescas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.82
Draw no bet
Illescas (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Illescas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Illescas to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Illescas ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Illescas – last 6
LLLWWW
1 Nov
@ Manchego
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Villacañas
3–4
L
11 Oct
vs La Solana
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Noblejas
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Villarrubia
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almansa – last 6
DLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Villarrobledo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Toledo
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs San Clemente
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Marchamalo
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Huracán Balazote
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Almansa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Illescas vs Almansa?
On our numbers Illescas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almansa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Almansa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs Almansa?
Our predicted score is Illescas 2–0 Almansa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs Almansa?
Illescas vs Almansa (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
