Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarrubia to win ✓41% · @2.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.76
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Quintanar del Rey welcome Villarrubia for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 8 November (18:00 WAT). In the table, Quintanar del Rey are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Villarrubia are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Quintanar del Rey, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Marchamalo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Villarrubia, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Socuéllamos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villarrubia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Quintanar del Rey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quintanar del Rey 1.2 xG, Villarrubia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quintanar del Rey 35%, draw 23%, Villarrubia 41%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Villarrubia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quintanar del Rey35%fair 2.82 · @2.48
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Villarrubia41%fair 2.42 · @2.59
2.57Expected goals
1.22Quintanar del Rey xG
1.35Villarrubia xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.2 – 1.4 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrubia to win✓
41%
2.42
2.59 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Villarrubia (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Quintanar del Rey +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Villarrubia to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrubia / FT Villarrubia✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Quintanar del Rey – last 6
DLLWLL
31 Oct
@ Marchamalo
3–3
D
25 Oct
@ Socuéllamos
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Tarancón
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Guadalajara II
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs CD Villa
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Torrijos
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarrubia – last 6
WDWLDL
1 Nov
vs Socuéllamos
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Tarancón
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Guadalajara II
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ CD Villa
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Torrijos
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Illescas
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quintanar del Rey and Villarrubia.
What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarrubia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
Our predicted score is Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Villarrubia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
