Esteghlal FC 42%Draw 23%Sepahan FC 35%Expected goals 1.16 – 1.02
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.52Odds
Picks by market
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✓42% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Esteghlal FC v Sepahan FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League, played at Azadi Stadium. In the table, Esteghlal FC are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Sepahan FC are 1st (leading the league) with 26.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nassaji Mazandaran, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sepahan FC, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tractor Sazi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Esteghlal FC, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.6 for Sepahan FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 1.2 xG, Sepahan FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 42%, draw 23%, Sepahan FC 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Sepahan FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC42%fair 2.37 · @2.41
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.06
Sepahan FC35%fair 2.88 · @2.71
2.18Expected goals
1.16Esteghlal FC xG
1.02Sepahan FC xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.2 – 1.0 Sepahan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✓
42%
2.37
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Draw no bet
Esteghlal FC (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Sepahan FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Esteghlal FC to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 5
WWWWL
18 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Mes Rafsanjan
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Al Hussein
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sepahan FC – last 5
LWDWD
18 Aug
vs Tractor Sazi
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Chadormalu SC
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Paykan
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3–1
W
18 Feb
@ Al Ahli Doha
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Sepahan FC.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sepahan FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Sepahan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.