Value bet: Aluminium Arak to win @ 2.71 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAluminium Arak to win ✗44% · @2.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.61
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shams Azar Qazvin welcome Aluminium Arak to Sardar Azadegan Stadium for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Aluminium Arak are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Shams Azar Qazvin, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Foolad FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Aluminium Arak, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chadormalu SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aluminium Arak, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.4 for Shams Azar Qazvin.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Aluminium Arak.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shams Azar Qazvin 0.7 xG, Aluminium Arak 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shams Azar Qazvin 30%, draw 26%, Aluminium Arak 44%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.46.
Price worth noting: Aluminium Arak to win @2.71 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Aluminium Arak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shams Azar Qazvin30%fair 3.29 · @2.71
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.71
Aluminium Arak44%fair 2.29 · @2.71
1.68Expected goals
0.72Shams Azar Qazvin xG
0.96Aluminium Arak xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
0–118%
1–013%
1–113%
0–29%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shams Azar Qazvin 0.7 – 1.0 Aluminium Arak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?
On our numbers Shams Azar Qazvin have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aluminium Arak 44%.
How many goals will there be in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?
Our predicted score is Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Aluminium Arak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sardar Azadegan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
