Value bet: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @ 2.77 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✗41% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nassaji Mazandaran travel to face Esteghlal Khuzestan on Sunday 23 August in the Persian Gulf Pro League, with Ghadir Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Esteghlal Khuzestan are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Nassaji Mazandaran are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esteghlal Khuzestan, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Persepolis FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nassaji Mazandaran, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Esteghlal FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.9 xG, Nassaji Mazandaran 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal Khuzestan 33%, draw 26%, Nassaji Mazandaran 41%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @2.77 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Nassaji Mazandaran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal Khuzestan33%fair 3.05 · @2.66
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.68
Nassaji Mazandaran41%fair 2.44 · @2.77
2.04Expected goals
0.94Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
1.10Nassaji Mazandaran xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.9 – 1.1 Nassaji Mazandaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✗
41%
2.44
2.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.44
Draw no bet
Nassaji Mazandaran (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal Khuzestan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Nassaji Mazandaran to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nassaji Mazandaran / FT Nassaji Mazandaran✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.99
–
Recent results
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 4
LLLW
19 Aug
@ Persepolis FC
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sepahan FC
1–3
L
13 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Gol Gohar
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Fard Alborz
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Havadar
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Naft Gachsaran
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Nassaji Mazandaran.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
On our numbers Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nassaji Mazandaran 41%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Nassaji Mazandaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ghadir Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
