Staphorst v TEC Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTEC to win ✓61% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Staphorst vs TEC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Derde Divisie Saturday brings Staphorst against TEC. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Staphorst are 15th, upper half, on 9 points after 12 matches; TEC are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Staphorst, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sparta Nijkerk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

TEC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Eemdijk, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 4.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours TEC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Staphorst.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Staphorst 1.5 xG, TEC 2.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Staphorst 26%, draw 13%, TEC 61%.
Price worth noting: TEC to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Staphorst 1–2 TEC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Staphorst26%fair 3.86 · @2.80

Draw13%fair 7.82 · @4.00

TEC61%fair 1.63 · @1.95

3.98Expected goals

1.52Staphorst xG

2.46TEC xG

57%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–37%

1–17%

2–27%

0–26%

2–35%

From our goals model: Staphorst 1.5 – 2.5 TEC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	TEC to win ✓	61%	1.63	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	87%	1.15	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	–
Draw no bet	TEC (draw no bet) ✓	70%	1.42	–
Asian handicap	Staphorst +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	–
First team to score	TEC to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	TEC ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT TEC / FT TEC ✓	38%	2.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.64	–

Staphorst – last 6

LLLDLD

26 Sep	@ Sparta Nijkerk	2–3	L
22 Sep	vs SC Genemuiden	2–3	L
19 Sep	vs ACV	2–3	L
12 Sep	@ Harkemase Boys	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs SC Genemuiden	1–2	L
2 Sep	vs UNA	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

TEC – last 6

WDWDWW

26 Sep	vs Eemdijk	7–2	W
23 Sep	@ JOS Watergraafsmeer	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Hercules	4–2	W
12 Sep	vs DVS 33 Ermelo	4–4	D
6 Sep	@ Hollandia	5–4	W
1 Sep	vs Almkerk	4–2	W

4.3Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Staphorst vs TEC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Staphorst vs TEC?

On our numbers Staphorst have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 13% and TEC 61%.

How many goals will there be in Staphorst vs TEC?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Staphorst vs TEC?

Our predicted score is Staphorst 1–2 TEC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Staphorst vs TEC?

Staphorst vs TEC (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Staphorst v TEC: numbers & prediction