EVV v Noordwijk Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNoordwijk to win ✓62% · @1.57

Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

EVV vs Noordwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

EVV welcome Noordwijk for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Saturday 3 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, EVV are 18th, upper half, on 3 points after 12 matches; Noordwijk are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

EVV, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Lisse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Noordwijk, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zwaluwen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Noordwijk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for EVV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give EVV 1.1 xG, Noordwijk 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – EVV 22%, draw 16%, Noordwijk 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Noordwijk to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: EVV 1–2 Noordwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

EVV22%fair 4.48 · @4.20

Draw16%fair 6.25 · @4.33

Noordwijk62%fair 1.62 · @1.57

3.04Expected goals

1.06EVV xG

1.99Noordwijk xG

51%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–210%

0–19%

0–29%

1–37%

0–36%

From our goals model: EVV 1.1 – 2.0 Noordwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Noordwijk to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.57
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	–
Draw no bet	Noordwijk (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	EVV +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Noordwijk to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Noordwijk ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.31	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Noordwijk / FT Noordwijk ✗	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.06	–

EVV – last 6

DWDLLW

26 Sep	@ FC Lisse	1–1	D
22 Sep	vs Halsteren	3–1	W
19 Sep	vs Groene Ster	1–1	D
13 Sep	@ UDI '19	1–4	L
5 Sep	vs Poortugaal	0–1	L
2 Sep	@ Hercules	3–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Noordwijk – last 6

LWWWDW

26 Sep	vs Zwaluwen	1–2	L
22 Sep	vs Frisia	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ TOGB	3–0	W
12 Sep	vs Vvsb	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Excelsior Maassluis	0–0	D
2 Sep	@ GOES	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for EVV vs Noordwijk?

Our pick is Noordwijk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win EVV vs Noordwijk?

On our numbers EVV have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Noordwijk 62%.

How many goals will there be in EVV vs Noordwijk?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for EVV vs Noordwijk?

Our predicted score is EVV 1–2 Noordwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is EVV vs Noordwijk?

EVV vs Noordwijk (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

EVV v Noordwijk: numbers & prediction

EVV