Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: SC Genemuiden to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSC Genemuiden to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Hoogeveen v SC Genemuiden in the Derde Divisie Saturday. In the table, Hoogeveen are 12th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; SC Genemuiden are 6th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Hoogeveen, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over ADO '20, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
SC Genemuiden, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Purmersteijn, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours SC Genemuiden, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Hoogeveen.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Hoogeveen 2–1 SC Genemuiden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hoogeveen 1.3 xG, SC Genemuiden 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hoogeveen 25%, draw 16%, SC Genemuiden 60%.
Price worth noting: SC Genemuiden to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoogeveen 1–2 SC Genemuiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hoogeveen25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @4.00
SC Genemuiden60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
3.48Expected goals
1.30Hoogeveen xG
2.18SC Genemuiden xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.3 – 2.2 SC Genemuiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and SC Genemuiden 60%.
How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
Our predicted score is Hoogeveen 1–2 SC Genemuiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.