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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hoogeveen v SC Genemuiden: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
5–3
FT
Hoogeveen 25%Draw 16%SC Genemuiden 60% Expected goals 1.30 – 2.18
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: SC Genemuiden to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSC Genemuiden to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Hoogeveen v SC Genemuiden in the Derde Divisie Saturday. In the table, Hoogeveen are 12th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; SC Genemuiden are 6th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Hoogeveen, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over ADO '20, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

SC Genemuiden, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Purmersteijn, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours SC Genemuiden, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Hoogeveen.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Hoogeveen 2–1 SC Genemuiden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hoogeveen 1.3 xG, SC Genemuiden 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hoogeveen 25%, draw 16%, SC Genemuiden 60%.
  • Price worth noting: SC Genemuiden to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoogeveen 1–2 SC Genemuiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hoogeveen25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @4.00
SC Genemuiden60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
3.48Expected goals
1.30Hoogeveen xG
2.18SC Genemuiden xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.3 – 2.2 SC Genemuiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Genemuiden to win ✗60%1.671.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betSC Genemuiden (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapHoogeveen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
First team to scoreSC Genemuiden to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultSC Genemuiden ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Genemuiden / FT SC Genemuiden ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Hoogeveen – last 6

WLLWDD
27 Sep@ ADO '205–1W
22 Sep@ ACV1–2L
19 Sepvs Excelsior '310–2L
12 Sep@ Dovo4–1W
5 Sep@ Sportlust '462–2D
2 Sepvs SVZW1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SC Genemuiden – last 6

WWLWWW
26 Sepvs Purmersteijn2–0W
22 Sep@ Staphorst3–2W
19 Sep@ VV Scherpenzeel0–1L
12 Sepvs SVZW3–0W
5 Sep@ Staphorst2–1W
1 Sepvs FC Lisse2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Hoogeveen v SC Genemuiden2–1
Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?

On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and SC Genemuiden 60%.

How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?

Our predicted score is Hoogeveen 1–2 SC Genemuiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?

Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.