Gateshead 64%Draw 15%Stoke City U21 22%Expected goals 2.37 – 1.29
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Gateshead to win @ 1.76 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGateshead to win ✓64% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Gateshead vs Stoke City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gateshead welcome Stoke City U21 to Gateshead International Stadium for a National League Cup fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Gateshead, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aldershot Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Stoke City U21, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leeds United U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gateshead 2.4 xG, Stoke City U21 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gateshead 64%, draw 15%, Stoke City U21 22%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Gateshead to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gateshead 2–1 Stoke City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gateshead64%fair 1.57 · @1.76
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @3.92
Stoke City U2122%fair 4.59 · @3.38
3.66Expected goals
2.37Gateshead xG
1.29Stoke City U21 xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gateshead 2.4 – 1.3 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gateshead to win✓
64%
1.57
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Draw no bet
Gateshead (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Gateshead -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.64
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.24
First team to score
Gateshead to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Gateshead ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gateshead / FT Gateshead✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Gateshead – last 6
LLLDDL
31 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
0–1
L
27 Oct
@ Boston United
1–2
L
20 Oct
@ Stafford Rangers
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Stafford Rangers
1–1
D
13 Oct
vs Wolves U21
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ FC Halifax Town
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City U21 – last 6
DLLLLD
31 Oct
@ Leeds United U21
2–2
D
23 Oct
@ Manchester City U21
3–4
L
20 Oct
vs Nordsjælland U21
0–2
L
16 Oct
vs Chelsea U21
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ FC Halifax Town
2–4
L
9 Oct
vs Charlton Athletic U21
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Stoke City U21.
What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Stoke City U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
Our predicted score is Gateshead 2–1 Stoke City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
Gateshead vs Stoke City U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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