Wealdstone vs Derby County U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wealdstone welcome Derby County U21 to Grosvenor Vale for a National League Cup fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Wealdstone, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Southend, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Derby County U21, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hull City U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Wealdstone, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Derby County U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wealdstone 2.5 xG, Derby County U21 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wealdstone 62%, draw 18%, Derby County U21 20%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.51.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wealdstone 2–1 Derby County U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wealdstone62%fair 1.62 · @1.52
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.20
Derby County U2120%fair 4.88 · @4.50
3.96Expected goals
2.54Wealdstone xG
1.43Derby County U21 xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Wealdstone 2.5 – 1.4 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wealdstone to win✗
62%
1.62
1.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.51
Draw no bet
Wealdstone (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Wealdstone -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.23
First team to score
Wealdstone to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Wealdstone ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wealdstone / FT Wealdstone✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Wealdstone – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
vs Southend
3–2
W
27 Oct
vs Solihull Moors
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Worthing
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Yeovil Town
0–6
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLWDLL
2 Nov
@ Hull City U21
0–1
L
26 Oct
vs Norwich City U21
3–4
L
19 Oct
@ Birmingham City U21
4–0
W
13 Oct
@ Scunthorpe
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Brentford U21
2–4
L
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wealdstone and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Wealdstone have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Derby County U21 20%.
How many goals will there be in Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Wealdstone 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Grosvenor Vale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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