Value bet: Leeds United U21 to win @ 2.67 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeeds United U21 to win ✗45% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds United U21 travel to face Hartlepool on Tuesday 3 November in the National League Cup, with Victoria Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Boreham Wood, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Leeds United U21, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stoke City U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.8 xG, Leeds United U21 2.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 35%, draw 19%, Leeds United U21 45%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Leeds United U21 to win @2.67 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–2 Leeds United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool35%fair 2.82 · @2.06
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.86
Leeds United U2145%fair 2.21 · @2.67
3.91Expected goals
1.83Hartlepool xG
2.08Leeds United U21 xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.8 – 2.1 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leeds United U21 to win✗
45%
2.21
2.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Draw no bet
Leeds United U21 (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Hartlepool +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.24
First team to score
Leeds United U21 to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Leeds United U21 ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leeds United U21 / FT Leeds United U21✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Oct
@ Boreham Wood
3–4
L
27 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Marine
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Newcastle United U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Forest Green
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
DLLWLW
31 Oct
vs Stoke City U21
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–4
L
13 Oct
@ Oldham
2–4
L
9 Oct
vs Stockport County U21
3–1
W
6 Oct
@ Tamworth
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Barnsley
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leeds United U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–2 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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