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Derby County U21 v Tottenham Hotspur U21: numbers & prediction

Premier League 2 Division One · England · Grange Park
Derby County U21 36%Draw 20%Tottenham Hotspur U21 44% Expected goals 2.63 – 2.87
74%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultTottenham Hotspur U21 to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.33
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 17.95

Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Derby County U21 v Tottenham Hotspur U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, played at Grange Park. In the table, Derby County U21 are 18th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.

Current form

Derby County U21, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gateshead, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Tottenham Hotspur U21, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Exeter City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derby County U21 2.6 xG, Tottenham Hotspur U21 2.9 xG – a total near 5.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 91% and GG at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derby County U21 36%, draw 20%, Tottenham Hotspur U21 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derby County U21 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derby County U2136%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.60
Tottenham Hotspur U2144%fair 2.26 · @2.15
5.50Expected goals
2.63Derby County U21 xG
2.87Tottenham Hotspur U21 xG
74%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–26%
2–36%
3–25%
3–35%
1–24%
1–34%

From our goals model: Derby County U21 2.6 – 2.9 Tottenham Hotspur U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTottenham Hotspur U21 to win ✓44%2.262.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓74%1.351.33
Draw no betTottenham Hotspur U21 (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapDerby County U21 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
First team to scoreTottenham Hotspur U21 to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultTottenham Hotspur U21 ahead at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tottenham Hotspur U21 / FT Tottenham Hotspur U21 ✓29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6%17.95–

Recent results

Derby County U21 – last 6

WDWLLL
8 Sep@ Gateshead3–1W
31 Augvs West Bromwich Albion U214–4D
24 Aug@ Reading U213–1W
18 Aug@ FC Halifax Town2–6L
14 Augvs Hull City U211–4L
1 Augvs Carlisle0–3L
2.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tottenham Hotspur U21 – last 6

LDWDLL
8 Sep@ Exeter City0–2L
31 Augvs Birmingham City U213–3D
24 Aug@ Newcastle United U213–1W
1 Aug@ Algeciras1–1D
25 Jul@ AFC Hornchurch1–3L
21 Jul@ Boreham Wood1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Tottenham Hotspur U21.

Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 head-to-head page →

Premier League 2 Division One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Southampton U216510+1116
2Chelsea U217511+816
3Tottenham Hotspur U217511+716
4Fulham U217412+513
5Norwich City U217412+113
6Nottingham Forest U217412013
7Liverpool U216321+511
8Reading U217322+111
9Manchester United U215311+810
10Leeds United U216312+310
11Sunderland U217313+210
12AFC Bournemouth U217313-310
13Everton U216231+29
14Brentford U21730409
15West Ham United U21723209
16Blackburn Rovers U21530209
17Crystal Palace U216222+18
18Derby County U21722308
19Brighton U21622208
20Aston Villa U216222-38
21Arsenal U217142-37
22Manchester City U214202+26
23Ipswich Town U214202+16
24Wolves U215203-76
25Leicester City U216123-55
26Stoke City U217115-34
27Burnley U217115-44
28Newcastle United U215113-74
29Middlesbrough U217034-53
30Birmingham City U216033-113
31West Bromwich Albion U215014-61

More Premier League 2 Division One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tottenham Hotspur U21 44%.

How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

Our predicted score is Derby County U21 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.

When is Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Grange Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.