Value bet: Middlesbrough U21 to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Middlesbrough U21 welcome Leeds United U21 to Heritage Park for a Premier League 2 Division One fixture on Sunday 13 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Middlesbrough U21 are 29th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 7 matches; Leeds United U21 are 10th (upper half) with 10.
Current form
Middlesbrough U21, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tamworth, away. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Leeds United U21, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Solihull Moors, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Middlesbrough U21, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Leeds United U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough U21 2.4 xG, Leeds United U21 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough U21 62%, draw 17%, Leeds United U21 21%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Middlesbrough U21 to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough U21 2–1 Leeds United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Middlesbrough U2162%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @3.80
Leeds United U2121%fair 4.69 · @3.20
3.75Expected goals
2.40Middlesbrough U21 xG
1.35Leeds United U21 xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough U21 2.4 – 1.4 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough U21 to win✗
62%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough U21 (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Middlesbrough U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Middlesbrough U21 to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough U21 / FT Middlesbrough U21✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Middlesbrough U21 – last 6
WLLWWW
9 Sep
@ Tamworth
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Norwich City U21
0–1
L
18 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
11 Aug
@ Hartlepool
10–0
W
10 Apr
@ Aston Villa U21
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
WLLWLD
8 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic U21
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Liverpool U21
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–3
W
18 Aug
@ Boreham Wood
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Stoke City U21
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough U21 and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Middlesbrough U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leeds United U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough U21 2–1 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Heritage Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
