AFC Bournemouth U21 66%Draw 14%Stoke City U21 20%Expected goals 2.24 – 1.09
66%
Betarazi pick
AFC Bournemouth U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Bournemouth U21 to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.22
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: AFC Bournemouth U21 v Stoke City U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, played at The Wyatt Homes Stadium. In the table, AFC Bournemouth U21 are 12th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Stoke City U21 are 26th (lower half) with 4.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth U21, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Southampton U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Stoke City U21, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Borussia M'gladbach II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Bournemouth U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Stoke City U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Bournemouth U21 2.2 xG, Stoke City U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Bournemouth U21 66%, draw 14%, Stoke City U21 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AFC Bournemouth U21 to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Bournemouth U21 2–1 Stoke City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Bournemouth U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw14%fair 6.92 · @4.50
Stoke City U2120%fair 5.08 · @3.70
3.33Expected goals
2.24AFC Bournemouth U21 xG
1.09Stoke City U21 xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: AFC Bournemouth U21 2.2 – 1.1 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Bournemouth U21 to win✓
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Draw no bet
AFC Bournemouth U21 (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
AFC Bournemouth U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
AFC Bournemouth U21 to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
AFC Bournemouth U21 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Bournemouth U21 / FT AFC Bournemouth U21✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
AFC Bournemouth U21 – last 6
LWWWLD
12 Sep
@ Southampton U21
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Leicester City U21
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cardiff City U21
1–4
L
10 Jul
vs Worthing
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stoke City U21 – last 6
LWLLDL
16 Sep
vs Borussia M'gladbach II
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Wolves U21
4–0
W
8 Sep
@ Wealdstone
0–6
L
4 Sep
@ Stockport County U21
0–4
L
28 Aug
@ Norwich City U21
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Brentford U21
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Bournemouth U21 and Stoke City U21.
What is the prediction for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is AFC Bournemouth U21 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers AFC Bournemouth U21 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stoke City U21 20%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our predicted score is AFC Bournemouth U21 2–1 Stoke City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wyatt Homes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
