Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premier League 2 Division One brings Burnley U21 against Aston Villa U21 at Burnley FC Training Centre. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Burnley U21 are 27th, lower half, on 4 points after 7 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 20th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Burnley U21, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Preston North End U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Aston Villa U21, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Crewe, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley U21 1.9 xG, Aston Villa U21 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley U21 35%, draw 20%, Aston Villa U21 45%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley U2135%fair 2.82 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.70
Aston Villa U2145%fair 2.23 · @2.05
4.00Expected goals
1.88Burnley U21 xG
2.12Aston Villa U21 xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Burnley U21 1.9 – 2.1 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa U21 to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Draw no bet
Aston Villa U21 (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Burnley U21 +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Aston Villa U21 to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa U21 ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa U21 / FT Aston Villa U21✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.91
–
Recent results
Burnley U21 – last 6
DWLWLL
9 Oct
vs Preston North End U21
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Derby County U21
4–1
W
14 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest U21
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town U21
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Reading U21
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Fulham U21
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
LDWDLL
22 Sep
@ Crewe
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Brondby U21
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley U21 and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Burnley U21 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aston Villa U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Burnley U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Burnley FC Training Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
