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Manchester City U21 v Stoke City U21: numbers & prediction

Premier League 2 Division One · England · Academy Stadium
Manchester City U21 74%Draw 19%Stoke City U21 7% Expected goals 2.68 – 0.82
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultManchester City U21 to win ✓74% · @1.18
Double chanceManchester City U21 or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 23 October the Premier League 2 Division One brings Manchester City U21 against Stoke City U21 at Academy Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Manchester City U21 are 22nd, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Stoke City U21 are 26th (lower half) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Manchester City U21, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur U21, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Stoke City U21, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nordsjælland U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Manchester City U21, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Stoke City U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City U21 2.7 xG, Stoke City U21 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City U21 74%, draw 19%, Stoke City U21 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City U21 2–1 Stoke City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manchester City U2174%fair 1.34 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @5.80
Stoke City U217%fair 14.32 · @11.00
3.50Expected goals
2.68Manchester City U21 xG
0.82Stoke City U21 xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Manchester City U21 2.7 – 0.8 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManchester City U21 to win ✓74%1.341.18
Double chanceManchester City U21 or draw ✓93%1.081.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.50
Draw no betManchester City U21 (draw no bet) ✓91%1.09–
Asian handicapManchester City U21 -1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
First team to scoreManchester City U21 to score first74%1.35–
Half-time resultManchester City U21 ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manchester City U21 / FT Manchester City U21 ✗53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Manchester City U21 – last 6

LLLWWL
19 Sep@ Tottenham Hotspur U212–4L
15 Sep@ Chesterfield3–5L
28 Aug@ Nottingham Forest U211–2L
24 Augvs Wolves U214–0W
19 Aug@ Mansfield Town4–1W
8 Mayvs Manchester United U213–4L
2.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Stoke City U21 – last 6

LLLDLL
20 Octvs Nordsjælland U210–2L
16 Octvs Chelsea U211–2L
13 Oct@ FC Halifax Town2–4L
9 Octvs Charlton Athletic U212–2D
21 Sep@ AFC Bournemouth U211–2L
16 Sepvs Borussia M'gladbach II0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Manchester City U21 and Stoke City U21.

Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21 head-to-head page →

Premier League 2 Division One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Southampton U216510+1116
2Chelsea U217511+816
3Tottenham Hotspur U217511+716
4Fulham U217412+513
5Norwich City U217412+113
6Nottingham Forest U217412013
7Liverpool U216321+511
8Reading U217322+111
9Manchester United U215311+810
10Leeds United U216312+310
11Sunderland U217313+210
12AFC Bournemouth U217313-310
13Everton U216231+29
14Brentford U21730409
15West Ham United U21723209
16Blackburn Rovers U21530209
17Crystal Palace U216222+18
18Derby County U21722308
19Brighton U21622208
20Aston Villa U216222-38
21Arsenal U217142-37
22Manchester City U214202+26
23Ipswich Town U214202+16
24Wolves U215203-76
25Leicester City U216123-55
26Stoke City U217115-34
27Burnley U217115-44
28Newcastle United U215113-74
29Middlesbrough U217034-53
30Birmingham City U216033-113
31West Bromwich Albion U215014-61

More Premier League 2 Division One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

On our numbers Manchester City U21 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stoke City U21 7%.

How many goals will there be in Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Our predicted score is Manchester City U21 2–1 Stoke City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Academy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.