Value bet: Arsenal U21 to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArsenal U21 to win ✓60% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal U21 welcome Aston Villa U21 to Meadow Park for a Premier League 2 Division One fixture on Sunday 8 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Arsenal U21 are 21st, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 20th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal U21, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Wimbledon, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Aston Villa U21, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Blackpool, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal U21 2.1 xG, Aston Villa U21 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal U21 60%, draw 14%, Aston Villa U21 27%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Arsenal U21 to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal U21 2–1 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal U2160%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw14%fair 7.40 · @4.15
Aston Villa U2127%fair 3.72 · @3.05
3.43Expected goals
2.12Arsenal U21 xG
1.31Aston Villa U21 xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arsenal U21 2.1 – 1.3 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal U21 to win✓
60%
1.68
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Draw no bet
Arsenal U21 (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
First team to score
Arsenal U21 to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Arsenal U21 ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal U21 / FT Arsenal U21✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Arsenal U21 – last 6
WLDDWL
27 Oct
@ AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Leicester City U21
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Sunderland U21
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ Birmingham City U21
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Chelsea U21
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
LWLDWD
27 Oct
@ Blackpool
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ Burnley U21
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Crewe
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal U21 and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Arsenal U21 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Aston Villa U21 27%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Arsenal U21 2–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.