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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middlesbrough U21 v Derby County U21: numbers & prediction

Premier League 2 Division One · England · Heritage Park

Middlesbrough U21

WLLLW
1–1
FT

Derby County U21

DLLWD
Middlesbrough U21 59%Draw 17%Derby County U21 24% Expected goals 2.56 – 1.60
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✗59% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Monday 9 November: Middlesbrough U21 v Derby County U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, played at Heritage Park. In the table, Middlesbrough U21 are 29th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 7 matches; Derby County U21 are 18th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Middlesbrough U21, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Valencia U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Derby County U21, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wealdstone, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Derby County U21 1–0 Middlesbrough U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough U21 2.6 xG, Derby County U21 1.6 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough U21 59%, draw 17%, Derby County U21 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough U21 2–1 Derby County U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middlesbrough U2159%fair 1.68 · @1.78
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @4.05
Derby County U2124%fair 4.15 · @3.20
4.17Expected goals
2.56Middlesbrough U21 xG
1.60Derby County U21 xG
71%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%

From our goals model: Middlesbrough U21 2.6 – 1.6 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✗59%1.681.78 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.421.28
Draw no betMiddlesbrough U21 (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapDerby County U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.111.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75%1.321.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.601.38
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough U21 to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough U21 ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough U21 / FT Middlesbrough U21 ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Middlesbrough U21 – last 6

WLLLWD
3 Novvs Valencia U213–2W
25 Octvs Tottenham Hotspur U211–2L
20 Oct@ Boreham Wood1–7L
16 Oct@ Everton U211–2L
30 Sepvs Juventus U211–0W
23 Sepvs Genk U211–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Derby County U21 – last 6

DLLWDL
3 Nov@ Wealdstone2–2D
2 Nov@ Hull City U210–1L
26 Octvs Norwich City U213–4L
19 Oct@ Birmingham City U214–0W
13 Oct@ Scunthorpe2–2D
10 Oct@ Brentford U212–4L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Derby County U21 v Middlesbrough U211–0
Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 head-to-head page →

Premier League 2 Division One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Southampton U216510+1116
2Chelsea U217511+816
3Tottenham Hotspur U217511+716
4Fulham U217412+513
5Norwich City U217412+113
6Nottingham Forest U217412013
7Liverpool U216321+511
8Reading U217322+111
9Manchester United U215311+810
10Leeds United U216312+310
11Sunderland U217313+210
12AFC Bournemouth U217313-310
13Everton U216231+29
14Brentford U21730409
15West Ham United U21723209
16Blackburn Rovers U21530209
17Crystal Palace U216222+18
18Derby County U21722308
19Brighton U21622208
20Aston Villa U216222-38
21Arsenal U217142-37
22Manchester City U214202+26
23Ipswich Town U214202+16
24Wolves U215203-76
25Leicester City U216123-55
26Stoke City U217115-34
27Burnley U217115-44
28Newcastle United U215113-74
29Middlesbrough U217034-53
30Birmingham City U216033-113
31West Bromwich Albion U215014-61

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

On our numbers Middlesbrough U21 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Derby County U21 24%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

Our predicted score is Middlesbrough U21 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Heritage Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.