Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.18
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Ironi Baka El Garbiya v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef. In the table, Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tzeirey Tamra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.5 xG, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Baka El Garbiya 45%, draw 21%, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel34%fair 2.92 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.53Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.29Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.5 – 1.3 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Ironi Baka El Garbiya (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ironi Baka El Garbiya to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
28.18
–
Recent results
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
DLDDLL
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – last 4
WLLD
18 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
4–1
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Hapoel Beit Shean
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Azor2
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda0
Hapoel Marmorek1
Shimshon Tel Aviv2
Ironi Beit Shemesh1
Nordia Jerusalem0
Dimona1
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi5