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Hapoel Marmorek v Shimshon Tel Aviv: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Marmorek 9%Draw 25%Shimshon Tel Aviv 65% Expected goals 0.56 – 1.77
65%
Betarazi pick

Shimshon Tel Aviv to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultShimshon Tel Aviv to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.80

Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Hapoel Marmorek v Shimshon Tel Aviv in the Liga Alef. In the table, Hapoel Marmorek are 12th, lower half, on 24 points after 22 matches; Shimshon Tel Aviv are 7th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

Hapoel Marmorek, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Shimshon Tel Aviv, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Holon Yermiyahu, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Shimshon Tel Aviv, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Hapoel Marmorek.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Marmorek 0.6 xG, Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 39%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Marmorek 9%, draw 25%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shimshon Tel Aviv to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Marmorek 0–1 Shimshon Tel Aviv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Marmorek9%fair 10.58 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Shimshon Tel Aviv65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
2.33Expected goals
0.56Hapoel Marmorek xG
1.77Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
39%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%

From our goals model: Hapoel Marmorek 0.6 – 1.8 Shimshon Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShimshon Tel Aviv to win ✓65%1.531.50
Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓91%1.101.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.65–
Draw no betShimshon Tel Aviv (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapShimshon Tel Aviv -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreShimshon Tel Aviv to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultShimshon Tel Aviv ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shimshon Tel Aviv / FT Shimshon Tel Aviv ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.80–

Recent results

Hapoel Marmorek – last 6

LLWDDD
18 Sepvs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0–1L
9 Sep@ Holon Yermiyahu0–1L
4 Sepvs Hapoel Hadera1–0W
27 Febvs Maccabi Ashdod1–1D
20 Feb@ Hapoel Herzliya1–1D
13 Febvs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 5

WDWWD
17 Sepvs Holon Yermiyahu3–1W
9 Sep@ Hapoel Hadera2–2D
3 Sepvs Ironi Beit Shemesh2–0W
26 Febvs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon4–2W
19 Febvs Kfar Saba 19280–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Marmorek and Shimshon Tel Aviv.

Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Kiryat Gat211740+3555
2FC Jerusalem221147+1637
3Dimona221147-137
4Maccabi Yavne221066+1436
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057035
6Tzeirey Tira211038+933
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868030
8Beitar Yavne229310-730
9Kfar Saba 192822787-329
10Maccabi Ashdod21777+228
11Holon Yermiyahu226610-324
12Hapoel Marmorek226610-1424
13Hapoel Azor21588-323
14Hapoel Herzliya225710-1422
15Hapoel Ramat HaSharon225512-1919
16Nordia Jerusalem223613-1215

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

Our pick is Shimshon Tel Aviv to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

On our numbers Hapoel Marmorek have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shimshon Tel Aviv 65%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Marmorek 0–1 Shimshon Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.