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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Azor v Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Azor 44%Draw 22%Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 35% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.10
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Azor to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49

Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda travel to face Hapoel Azor on Wednesday 23 September in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hapoel Azor, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Sderot, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hapoel Azor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Azor 1.3 xG, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Azor 44%, draw 22%, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 35%.
  • Price worth noting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Azor 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Azor44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.40Expected goals
1.29Hapoel Azor xG
1.10Hapoel Mahane Yehuda xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Hapoel Azor 1.3 – 1.1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Azor to win ✓44%2.282.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betHapoel Azor (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapHapoel Mahane Yehuda +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreHapoel Azor to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Azor / FT Hapoel Azor ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.49–

Recent results

Hapoel Azor – last 4

LWLW
18 Sep@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi0–3L
9 Sepvs Tzeirey Tira2–0W
3 Sep@ Maccabi Yavne0–3L
26 Febvs Nordia Jerusalem2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda – last 3

LDD
17 Sepvs Hapoel Sderot0–1L
9 Sep@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon1–1D
3 Sep@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Azor and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.

Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Kiryat Gat211740+3555
2FC Jerusalem221147+1637
3Dimona221147-137
4Maccabi Yavne221066+1436
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057035
6Tzeirey Tira211038+933
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868030
8Beitar Yavne229310-730
9Kfar Saba 192822787-329
10Maccabi Ashdod21777+228
11Holon Yermiyahu226610-324
12Hapoel Marmorek226610-1424
13Hapoel Azor21588-323
14Hapoel Herzliya225710-1422
15Hapoel Ramat HaSharon225512-1919
16Nordia Jerusalem223613-1215

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

On our numbers Hapoel Azor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 35%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Azor 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.