Hapoel Ironi Karmiel v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✓65% · @1.50

Double chanceHapoel Ironi Karmiel or draw ✓84% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef. In the table, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel are 5th, upper half, on 33 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ironi Baka El Garbiya, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.7 xG, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 65%, draw 19%, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel65%fair 1.53 · @1.50

Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.75

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel16%fair 6.40 · @6.00

2.33Expected goals

1.70Hapoel Ironi Karmiel xG

0.63Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG

52%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

2–014%

1–110%

0–010%

2–19%

3–08%

From our goals model: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.7 – 0.6 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.50
Double chance	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	1.95
Draw no bet	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel / FT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel ✗	39%	2.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.27	–

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel – last 6

DDDWWL

1 Oct	@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0–0	D
23 Sep	vs Ironi Nesher	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	1–1	D
10 Sep	vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3–0	W
4 Sep	@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	3–1	W
27 Feb	vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – last 5

LWLLD

23 Sep	@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya	1–3	L
18 Sep	@ Tzeirey Tamra	4–1	W
9 Sep	@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit	0–1	L
19 Feb	vs Hapoel Beit Shean	0–1	L
13 Feb	@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Our pick is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

On our numbers Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 16%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: numbers & prediction