Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ironi Baka El Garbiya welcome Hapoel Nazareth Illit for a Liga Alef fixture on Thursday 8 October (18:30 WAT).
Current form
Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hapoel Beit Shean, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tzeirey Tamra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.4 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Baka El Garbiya 34%, draw 22%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Hapoel Nazareth Illit45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
2.98Expected goals
1.37Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.61Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.4 – 1.6 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Baka El Garbiya +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
LWDLDD
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
LWWDDL
30 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tamra
2–3
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hapoel Acre
2–2
D
19 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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