Value bet: Maccabi Ashdod to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Ashdod to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Marmorek welcome Maccabi Ashdod for a Liga Alef fixture on Thursday 8 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Hapoel Marmorek are 12th, lower half, on 24 points after 22 matches; Maccabi Ashdod are 10th (lower half) with 28.
Current form
Hapoel Marmorek, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kfar Saba 1928, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Maccabi Ashdod, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Holon Yermiyahu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Marmorek 1.0 xG, Maccabi Ashdod 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Marmorek 33%, draw 22%, Maccabi Ashdod 45%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Maccabi Ashdod to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Marmorek33%fair 3.02 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Maccabi Ashdod45%fair 2.25 · @2.38
2.30Expected goals
1.03Hapoel Marmorek xG
1.27Maccabi Ashdod xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Marmorek 1.0 – 1.3 Maccabi Ashdod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
On our numbers Hapoel Marmorek have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maccabi Ashdod 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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