Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Migdal HaEmek to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceHapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Migdal HaEmek against Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are 8th, upper half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tzeirey Tamra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2.2 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 62%, draw 22%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 16%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Ironi Baka El Garbiya16%fair 6.23 · @3.60
3.23Expected goals
2.18Hapoel Migdal HaEmek xG
1.05Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2.2 – 1.1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek / FT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – last 6
WWDLWD
19 Oct
@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Tzeirey Tamra
1–0
W
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1–1
D
24 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–3
L
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
WLLWDL
19 Oct
@ Tzeirey Tamra
3–1
W
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1–2
L
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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