Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 58%Draw 19%Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 23%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.25
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi K. Ata Bialik to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Liga Alef brings Maccabi K. Ata Bialik against Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik are 3rd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ironi Nesher, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2.1 xG, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 58%, draw 19%, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 23%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2–1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.50
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
3.38Expected goals
2.13Maccabi K. Ata Bialik xG
1.25Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2.1 – 1.3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to win✗
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Draw no bet
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi K. Ata Bialik / FT Maccabi K. Ata Bialik✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik – last 6
LLLWWW
16 Oct
@ Ironi Nesher
0–4
L
9 Oct
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–2
L
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
5–3
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
4–0
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 6
LWDDDW
19 Oct
vs Tira
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs FC Shefa-Amr
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Beitar Nahariya
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3–3
D
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi K. Ata Bialik and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
What is the prediction for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
On our numbers Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 23%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
Our predicted score is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2–1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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