FC Jerusalem v Hapoel Sderot Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✗45% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: FC Jerusalem v Hapoel Sderot in the Liga Alef.

Current form

FC Jerusalem, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Hapoel Sderot, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hapoel Herzliya, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Jerusalem 1.5 xG, Hapoel Sderot 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Jerusalem 45%, draw 21%, Hapoel Sderot 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Jerusalem 1–1 Hapoel Sderot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Jerusalem45%fair 2.20 · @2.00

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40

Hapoel Sderot33%fair 3.00 · @3.10

2.79Expected goals

1.53FC Jerusalem xG

1.26Hapoel Sderot xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–27%

2–07%

From our goals model: FC Jerusalem 1.5 – 1.3 Hapoel Sderot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Jerusalem to win ✗	45%	2.20	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	1.60
Draw no bet	FC Jerusalem (draw no bet) ✗	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Hapoel Sderot +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	FC Jerusalem to score first ✗	51%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem ✗	26%	3.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.05	–

FC Jerusalem – last 6

LLWDWD

19 Oct	@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	2–4	L
9 Oct	vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	0–1	L
30 Sep	@ Tzeirey Tira	2–0	W
24 Sep	vs Maccabi Yavne	1–1	D
18 Sep	@ Nordia Jerusalem	3–1	W
9 Sep	vs Maccabi Ashdod	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Hapoel Sderot – last 6

DWLDLW

19 Oct	vs Hapoel Herzliya	2–2	D
12 Oct	@ Hapoel Rahat	4–1	W
9 Oct	@ Dimona	1–4	L
1 Oct	vs Hapoel Azor	0–0	D
23 Sep	@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	0–1	L
17 Sep	@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	+35	55
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	+16	37
3	Dimona	22	11	4	7	-1	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	+14	36
5	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	0	35
6	Tzeirey Tira	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	0	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	-7	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	-3	29
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	+2	28
11	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	-3	24
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	-14	24
13	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	-3	23
14	Hapoel Herzliya	22	5	7	10	-14	22
15	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	22	5	5	12	-19	19
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	-12	15

Team

Pts

+35

+16

-1

+14

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

-7

-3

-3

-14

-3

-14

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

-19

Nordia Jerusalem

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?

On our numbers FC Jerusalem have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Sderot 33%.

How many goals will there be in FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?

Our predicted score is FC Jerusalem 1–1 Hapoel Sderot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?

FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Jerusalem v Hapoel Sderot: numbers & prediction