Value bet: Bradford to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBurnley to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Bradford vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Bradford v Burnley in the League Cup, played at Valley Parade.
Current form
Bradford, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sheffield Wednesday, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Burnley, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to West Brom, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Burnley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bradford 1.2 xG, Burnley 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford 35%, draw 23%, Burnley 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Bradford to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford 1–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bradford35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.35
Burnley43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
2.53Expected goals
1.18Bradford xG
1.35Burnley xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bradford 1.2 – 1.4 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Burnley (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Bradford +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Burnley to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Bradford – last 6
WWWDWL
20 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Peterborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Rochdale
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Salford City
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Preston
3–2
W
17 Jul
@ Accrington ST
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDDLDL
23 Aug
@ West Brom
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs West Ham
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Notts County
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Torino
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Ajax
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Burnley.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bradford vs Burnley?
On our numbers Bradford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley 43%.
How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Bradford 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bradford vs Burnley?
Bradford vs Burnley (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Newcastle3
West Brom2
Tottenham5
Charlton1
Preston0
Everton4