Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTottenham to win ✓74% · @1.23
Double chanceTottenham or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Tottenham vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Tottenham v Charlton in the League Cup, played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Current form
Tottenham, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Brentford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Charlton, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over West Ham, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlton, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tottenham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tottenham 2.8 xG, Charlton 0.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tottenham 74%, draw 19%, Charlton 7%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tottenham to win (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tottenham 2–0 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tottenham74%fair 1.35 · @1.23
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @6.00
Charlton7%fair 14.04 · @11.00
3.65Expected goals
2.77Tottenham xG
0.89Charlton xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%
From our goals model: Tottenham 2.8 – 0.9 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tottenham to win✓
74%
1.35
1.23
Double chance
Tottenham or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Tottenham (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Tottenham -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
First team to score
Tottenham to score first✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Tottenham ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tottenham / FT Tottenham✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Tottenham – last 6
LDWDWD
22 Aug
@ Brentford
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Getafe
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Chelsea
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Sydney
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
WWWLWL
22 Aug
@ West Ham
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Derby
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Reading
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Colchester
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Charlton.
Our pick is Tottenham to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tottenham vs Charlton?
On our numbers Tottenham have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Charlton 7%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Charlton?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Tottenham 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tottenham vs Charlton?
Tottenham vs Charlton (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.