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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Central Espanol v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Palermo
0–1
FT
Central Espanol 38%Draw 23%Juventud 38% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.18
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Central Espanol to win @ 2.92 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✓38% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.86

Central Espanol vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Primera División Apertura brings Central Espanol against Juventud at Parque Palermo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Central Espanol, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Penarol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventud, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Torque, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Juventud 0–1 Central Espanol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 1.2 xG, Juventud 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 38%, draw 23%, Juventud 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Central Espanol to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central Espanol38%fair 2.61 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Juventud38%fair 2.60 · @2.36
2.37Expected goals
1.18Central Espanol xG
1.18Juventud xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.2 – 1.2 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✓38%2.602.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapCentral Espanol +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.86–

Recent results

Central Espanol – last 6

LWDLDD
16 Aug@ Penarol1–2L
8 Augvs Progreso1–0W
2 Augvs Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
25 Julvs Cerro Largo0–1L
12 Jul@ Boston River0–0D
6 Junvs Racing Montevideo1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

LDDWLD
15 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
7 Aug@ Cerro Largo1–1D
1 Aug@ Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
17 Jul@ Albion FC1–0W
11 Julvs Atletico Torque1–3L
5 Jul@ Danubio1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Juventud v Central Espanol0–1
Central Espanol vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Central Espanol vs Juventud?

On our numbers Central Espanol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventud 38%.

How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Central Espanol vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.