Cerro Largo 37%Draw 24%Defensor Sporting 38%Expected goals 1.04 – 1.06
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗38% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.01
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Largo welcome Defensor Sporting to Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Defensor Sporting are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wanderers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Defensor Sporting, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cerro Largo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Defensor Sporting.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerro Largo 0 wins, Defensor Sporting 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.0 xG, Defensor Sporting 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 37%, draw 24%, Defensor Sporting 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo37%fair 2.67 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Defensor Sporting38%fair 2.61 · @2.52
2.09Expected goals
1.04Cerro Largo xG
1.06Defensor Sporting xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.0 – 1.1 Defensor Sporting expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Defensor Sporting 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
