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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Altavilla v Virtus Bolzano: numbers & prediction

7–0
FT
Altavilla 57%Draw 23%Virtus Bolzano 20% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.95
80%
Betarazi pick

Altavilla or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Altavilla to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAltavilla to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceAltavilla or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74

Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Bolzano travel to face Altavilla on Sunday 27 September in the Serie D Girone C – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Altavilla are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Virtus Bolzano are 15th (lower half) with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Altavilla, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mestre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Virtus Bolzano, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sandona, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Altavilla 1.8 xG, Virtus Bolzano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Altavilla 57%, draw 23%, Virtus Bolzano 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Altavilla or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Altavilla to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Altavilla or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altavilla 1–0 Virtus Bolzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Altavilla57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Virtus Bolzano20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
2.76Expected goals
1.81Altavilla xG
0.95Virtus Bolzano xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Altavilla 1.8 – 1.0 Virtus Bolzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAltavilla to win ✓57%1.741.85 ▲
Double chanceAltavilla or draw ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betAltavilla (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapVirtus Bolzano +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreAltavilla to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultAltavilla ahead at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Altavilla / FT Altavilla ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.74–

Recent results

Altavilla – last 6

LLDWWW
20 Sep@ Mestre2–3L
16 Sepvs Legnago Salus2–3L
13 Sep@ LME0–0D
6 Sepvs Triestina1–0W
3 May@ Conegliano1–0W
26 Aprvs Mestre1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Virtus Bolzano – last 5

WLWLL
20 Sepvs Sandona2–1W
16 Sep@ Luparense0–4L
13 Sepvs Brian Lignano2–1W
6 Sep@ Clodiense0–2L
25 Jul@ Modena0–5L
0.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Altavilla and Virtus Bolzano.

Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cjarlins Muzane11812+1225
2Luparense11560+1221
3Sandona11542+519
4Clodiense11542+319
5Campodarsego11533+318
6Mestre11452+417
7Legnago Salus11443+316
8Este11515+116
9Conegliano11434-315
10Bassano Virtus11353014
11FC Obermais11344-213
12Triestina11344-313
13LME11344-413
14Altavilla11254+511
15Virtus Bolzano11326-1611
16Calvi Noale11245-410
17Schio11155-58
18Brian Lignano11128-115

More Serie D Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?

Our pick is Altavilla or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?

On our numbers Altavilla have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Virtus Bolzano 20%.

How many goals will there be in Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?

Our predicted score is Altavilla 1–0 Virtus Bolzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?

Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.