Value bet: Brian Lignano to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCalvi Noale to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Calvi Noale welcome Brian Lignano for a Serie D Girone C fixture on Sunday 27 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Calvi Noale are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 11 matches; Brian Lignano are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Calvi Noale, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Legnago Salus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Brian Lignano, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Clodiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Calvi Noale, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Brian Lignano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvi Noale 1.3 xG, Brian Lignano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvi Noale 42%, draw 23%, Brian Lignano 35%.
Price worth noting: Brian Lignano to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvi Noale 1–1 Brian Lignano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvi Noale42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Brian Lignano35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.34Calvi Noale xG
1.19Brian Lignano xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Calvi Noale 1.3 – 1.2 Brian Lignano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvi Noale to win✗
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Calvi Noale (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Brian Lignano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Calvi Noale to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvi Noale / FT Calvi Noale✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.34
–
Recent results
Calvi Noale – last 6
WDDLWW
20 Sep
@ Legnago Salus
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Schio
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Triestina
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Mestre
0–2
L
3 May
@ Bassano Virtus
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Campodarsego
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brian Lignano – last 6
LLLLWW
20 Sep
vs Clodiense
3–5
L
16 Sep
@ Sandona
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Virtus Bolzano
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Este
0–2
L
3 May
@ Adriese
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ Vigasio
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvi Noale and Brian Lignano.
What is the prediction for Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano?
On our numbers Calvi Noale have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brian Lignano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano?
Our predicted score is Calvi Noale 1–1 Brian Lignano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano?
Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
