FC Obermais 20%Draw 21%Mestre 59%Expected goals 0.82 – 1.66
80%
Betarazi pick
Mestre or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Mestre to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMestre to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceMestre or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.21
FC Obermais vs Mestre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: FC Obermais v Mestre in the Serie D Girone C. In the table, FC Obermais are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Mestre are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
FC Obermais, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Conegliano, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Mestre, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Altavilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mestre, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FC Obermais.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Obermais 0.8 xG, Mestre 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Obermais 20%, draw 21%, Mestre 59%.
Lower-risk option: Mestre or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Mestre to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mestre or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Obermais 0–1 Mestre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Obermais20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.25
Mestre59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.48Expected goals
0.82FC Obermais xG
1.66Mestre xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: FC Obermais 0.8 – 1.7 Mestre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mestre to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mestre or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Mestre (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
FC Obermais +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mestre to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mestre / FT Mestre✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.21
–
Recent results
FC Obermais – last 6
LDWLDW
20 Sep
@ Conegliano
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs LME
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Este
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cjarlins Muzane
2–5
L
17 May
@ Vigasio
2–2
D
10 May
@ San Luigi
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mestre – last 6
WDDWWL
20 Sep
vs Altavilla
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Bassano Virtus
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Luparense
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Calvi Noale
2–0
W
3 May
vs Treviso
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Altavilla
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Obermais and Mestre.
Our pick is Mestre or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Obermais vs Mestre?
On our numbers FC Obermais have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mestre 59%.
How many goals will there be in FC Obermais vs Mestre?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Obermais vs Mestre?
Our predicted score is FC Obermais 0–1 Mestre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Obermais vs Mestre?
FC Obermais vs Mestre (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
